Corinne McCabe ABR, Broker

Bosley Real Estate Ltd., Brokerage

Cell 416-888-9842 | info@corinnemccabe.com

 

Call us unimaginative, but along with being thankful for family, good health and warm fall weather, this year we are going to be thankful for being Realtors®. Again. Sure, it has been and up and down and up kind of year and no we have not moved out of the near bottom ranking of jobs people like to hate, but nobody gets to explore and enjoy the city like we do. As the city learns to live a high-rise lifestyle we Realtors can enjoy some of the city’s most stunning views in the morning and wander amongst the grand homes of Lawrence Park in the afternoon. Condo owners have a bit more to be happy about as overall price growth in that sector continues to outstrip the single home market but recent stats from the Toronto Real Estate Board show all house types up year-over-year in the 416. Happy Thanksgiving!


In the condo market there was a modest decline in new listings as we head into the Thanksgiving long weekend with listings down 12% to 276 from 314 the previous week. Buyers can be thankful, though Sellers are definitely not, that the percentage of condos selling above their listed price continues to decline. This week only (yes, only) 27% of condos sold over their advertised price, down from above 40% in early-September.


In the freehold market the decline in new listings was more pronounced, down 17% from the previous week. While the condo market seems to have found its identity (just keep going up), the freehold market still seems to be looking for stable footing.  We are witnessing a bit of everything, with some listings reducing their prices after a few weeks and some still increasing their price when they don’t get a bidding war on offer night. Bidding wars are still happening with 35% of homes selling above their list price, just not to the same extent they were in the ultra hot spring market.

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This past week we in the industry seem to be of two minds.  It seems all the Realtors are holding the same half full glass of water and we are debating the age old question of is the glass half full or is it really half empty. Some Realtors are trying to hold offer dates and others are trying to list where they think a property’s market value lies.  Some are still thinking about the market softening after the April ‘peak’ and others are looking for a new peak this Fall. After watching the steady increase in freehold properties being sold above their listed price this last week we are definitely leaning towards the half glass full philosophy. One thing everyone does seem to agree on is that there is a bit of a lack of quality listings coming to the market.


In the freehold market new listings tailed off a bit last week with 259 new listings coming to market compared to 306 in the previous week. The percentage of freehold properties selling above their listed price increased from 40% to 49%. The hottest product was the $700,000-1,500,000 price range in the east end where 66% of properties sold above their advertised price.  The same category in the west end showed 50% of listings sell above their advertised price and in the central core the number becomes a more modest 38%.

 

In the condo market new listings have seem to hit a stable number with 314 new listings last week compared to the 337 the week before. The hottest segment of the condo market is also in the $700,000-1,500,000 but overall there was a decline in the number of condos that sold above their advertised price.  Last week saw an easing off of condos that sold above their listed price coming down 6% from the 40% of properties the previous week. With 34% of all condos last week selling above their advertised price the condo market seems to be settling into a nice groove for the Fall market.


Bosley Real Estate Ltd. is a full service boutique brokerage operating in Toronto, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Jordan and Port Hope, Ontario since 1928. We have four centrally located offices and over 250 sales representatives selling and leasing homes and condominiums in all the vibrant communities we work in. Our brand is well recognized internationally thanks to our unique affiliation with Leading Real Estate Companies of the World. Our sales teams meet weekly to discuss market conditions, trending topics, and anecdotes that more accurately reflect the true temperature of the real estate market.

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It was with some sadness that we heard the news this week of the death of Wiarton Willy, the lovable groundhog that has predicted with less than perfect results whether we would be free of the grip of winter or due for a prolonged cold spell. And, as we thought fondly of Willy we were reminded of one of our favourite non-real estate movies starring Bill Murray – Groundhog Day. If Bill Murray was a Realtor® he would be living a version of Groundhog Day today. Waking up this morning and looking at the trend in sales he might think he was back in March.  Listings and sales are up in condos and the freehold market and more importantly the percentage of properties selling above their list price reached 40% in both the condo and freehold markets.  While 40% of sales above list may still be far from the Spring days of 80-90% of deals selling above their advertised price it is certainly an interesting trend that we will be watching carefully.


In the freehold market new listings jumped 30% to 306 from 237 the previous week. Several of those new listings are actually re-lists of properties that were previously listed in the Spring market but it is important to note that the market has not been flooded by listings that did not sell in the spring.  In most neighbourhoods these re-lists represent only a small portion of all the new listings. Sales in the freehold market jumped significantly nearly tripling from the previous week with 110 freehold properties being sold compared to only 39 in the previous week. We recently heard the story of a property that had been previously listed, but not sold, in the spring that came back to the market with a slightly lower asking price only to be sold in multiple offers for more than the original spring price.


The condo market also saw an uptick in new listings with 337 new units coming to market last week compared to 318 the week before.  While this increase is fairly small it does show a trend of balanced numbers of condo properties coming to market.  Condo sales also increased last week going from 95 two weeks ago to 132 last week.  This represents a healthy 40% increase in condo sales week over week and we will be watching carefully to see how the condo market trends through the remainder of the year.

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Ground Control to Major Tom, take your protein pills and put your helmet on. And just like that the Fall market has started. In case you have been away this summer it might be worth a quick recap on just where we are in the real estate world. After a rocking great start to the year with record sales through April the provincial government created their Fair Housing Plan, including their new rules on rental properties and a foreign buyers tax.  Not to be outdone, the federal government then joined the chorus with not one but two increases to the prime interest rate that the banks were only too happy to embrace and have begun to hum the tune of stricter borrowing rules that we have heard before. While the municipal government has kept out of the legislative choir it seems they are mostly hoping all these measures to cool the market don’t work too well, because gosh they really need all that income from the land transfer tax. So what does all this mean to Toronto’s real estate Fall market? It’s a bit too early to say. What we can say is that perhaps we are not all singing the same tune.  The media continues to sing the song of market collapse while from the background singers we are hearing whispers of homes selling with 8 offers and multi-million dollar Rosedale mansions selling after one day on the market.


The freehold sector was up a whopping 450% or five times more new listings than the previous week. This is not unusual for so many listings coming out after labour day. What was unusual was the amount of sold listings down by almost 50% from the previous week, with 20 per cent selling over the asking price. What was notable last week was 29 new listings in the central core listed above $3 million!


The condo market also saw an increase in new listings. Up 200% over the previous week, with the sweet spot being the $400k to $700k. While sales tapered off 45% over the previous week, a substantial amount (34%) of the sales, sold over the asking price. The condo rental market is fierce these days. New listings don’t even last a day and most end up in a bidding war. The average one bedroom in Toronto is now $2,089 a month!

Bosley Real Estate Ltd. is a full service boutique brokerage operating in Toronto, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Jordan and Port Hope, Ontario since 1928. We have four centrally located offices and over 250 sales representatives selling and leasing homes and condominiums in all the vibrant communities we work in. Our brand is well recognized internationally thanks to our unique affiliation with Leading Real Estate Companies of the World. Our sales teams meet weekly to discuss market conditions, trending topics, and anecdotes that more accurately reflect the true temperature of the real estate market.

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Back to school in September always feels like the beginning of a new year for real estate. We are all prepping and preparing for the Fall Market. So many predictions are made but time will tell us how it will all unfold. The Toronto Real Estate Board stats came out the other day and the average cost of a home in August was $732,292 up by three percent compared to August 2016.The number of new listings entered into the MLS system was down by 6.7% year-over-year. Home sales in August were down 34.8%. While we might be seeing clouds forming on the horizon, summer real estate numbers aren't always the best indicators of where the market is going.


While the price of detached homes remained unchanged this August compared to last, semi-detached home prices are still up 12.1 percent and the average condominium price has increased 21.4 per cent since August 2016 for an average price of $507,841. The real estate market has the benefit of a strong GDP growth, low interest rates and unemployment. The latest interest hike increase may also spur sales as potential buyers decide to act now to lock in a mortgage rate if they believe more rate increases may be coming.


All these statistics represent the GTA and fail to target the specific statistics in each individual neighbourhood. Our market is very diverse and the numbers of one area are not necessarily reflective of the market as a whole. House hunters still prefer to take their time, but we are seeing a notable increase in confidence after the craziness that set in late spring. It’s too soon to know if the rate hike will change buyer psychology because many opt for five-year fixed terms on their mortgages. The first week after Labour day weekend usually brings a spike in listings so let’s see if that stands true this year!

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As we approach the middle of August, the traffic around the city gets a little lighter and it seems like it’s your last chance to take a bit of a breather before we start to think about getting ready for the fall real estate market. There is much talk around the office about all the new listings that will be hitting MLS after Labour Day. Will it be a repeat of May when we saw an excess of listings come to market? Are buyers waiting patiently for the impending influx of new listings to satisfy their desire for a place to call home?

 

The freehold sector remained relatively unchanged from the previous week. Sales were steady but the amount of new listings has tapered off by 33 per cent. The $700k to $1.5m price range was the busiest sector and 43 per cent of the sales, sold over the asking price. The west end was the hot spot this week for buyers with more than half of the homes selling over asking.

 

The condo sector has eased off as well with slightly less new listings and 12 per cent less sales. The hot spot is the $400K to $700K price range in the central core and 18 percent of the sales, sold over asking. The big talk in the office this week was the rental market with condo rentals receiving as many as 16 offers! Trying to find a rental in Toronto is a lot like online dating. With students going back to school renting in Toronto is the hardest it’s ever been. With rents increasing on average 11% in the last year, the average one bedroom in Toronto is $2,089 a month.

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The dog days of August are upon us.  The weather is finally hot, hot, hot and sipping drinks on a patio is where we all want to be.  Listings are slowing down but last week sales were slightly up by 8%.   There was a significant increase in open house traffic last weekend and agents are seeing more appointments being booked on their listings.  Stories around the office of properties that had 9, 16 and 18 offers this week got everyone all talking.   Is pricing low to generate offers the way to go?


Some agents believe to list with an asking price close to market value and accept offers anytime and some believe to list low and set a date for offers.  The latter seems to be happening again.  It’s too soon to tell if a flurry of sales signals a trend that some buyers simply need to move on with their lives.


The July resale housing market figures were just released for the GTA, and results show we were down 40.4% in sales on a year-over-year basis and listings were up slightly (5%) above last year.  The average selling price for all home types combined was up by 5% from 2016 to $746,218.  Sumer market statistics are often not the best indicators of housing market conditions.  “Clearly, the year-over-year decline we experienced in July had more to do with psychology, with would-be home buyers on the sidelines waiting to see how market conditions evolve.”, said Mr. Syrianos, TREB president.

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Are we all tired of reading and listening to what the media has to say about the housing market in Toronto? There wasn't a week that went by that some so called expert didn't write their views about the market. For sure market conditions have changed and we are all adjusting, so why don't they give it a rest. The last major housing correction followed a global economic crisis in 2008. The conditions aren't there this time for a major market meltdown. The Toronto market still needs time to absorb how the buyers and sellers are going to react to the policy changes.

 

The Toronto Real Estate Board's midmonth numbers for July show sales down 39.3% year over year in the first half of July. With sales down and new listings slightly up {6.5%) the market was better supplied compared to last year. This gave us a more moderate 7.4% annual growth rate for the average selling price, which is $776,036 for the City of Toronto.

 

Despite the recent dip in GTA home sales the condo market is continuing to gain popularity with home buyers. First time buyers who want to live in the city have turned their attention in increasing numbers to less expensive forms of housing. The average selling price for condominium apartments increased 28.1% compared to 2016. The average price for a condo in the City of Toronto is $566,513, compared to $442,834 in 2016.

 

House prices go up, house prices go down. Whatever happens the rest of the year, Toronto housing is probably a safe bet. Toronto is a very attractive destination!

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The traffic has slowed down and you can tell most people have ventured out of town for their summer holidays. The weather has finally warmed up and everyone is taking advantage of the great outdoors. Open house attendance has dropped off and property showings have slowed down. In real estate language, we call this "The Summer Market".

 

It's easy to see the freehold sector easing into the summer market. Listings remained unchanged except for a slight increase in the 3 million plus range. There is still some good news. Homes selling in the $700 to $1.5m range, almost half of them sold over asking!

 

In the condo sector the number of new listings has not increased but a surprising number of condos (35) are available in the $300-400 range and more than 50% have sold over the asking price. Good news for the first time buyers with a small budget.

 

The Bank of Canada interest rate hike last week could prolong the slowdown of the Toronto housing market, but economist Benjamin Tal said it is not expected to last long term. "What led to the slowdown in Vancouver was really more domestic buyers waiting to see what the foreign buyers tax will do."

 

While Toronto could follow a similar path to the Vancouver market that saw a significant decline, there are other factors now at play, Tal said.

 

"We also see interest rates going up and the regulators are talking about introducing more measures to slow down the market" he said. "That's why it's possible the slowdown in Toronto will be more durable than the slowdown in Vancouver." 

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If you are working the downtown condo market or involved in the ridiculously heated rental market you might wonder what all the talk is about a declining real estate market.  However, if you are working the uptown detached market you might be trying to focus your inner Stuart Smalley by slowly repeating “I’m good enough, I’m smart enough and gosh darn it people want to buy my listings”. Buyers who are looking at the entry level market, which these days means small condos, are in tough and often competing for a space to call home.  The Buyers that had been chomping at the bit and competing for the large detached homes seem to have completely forgotten that they ever wanted to buy anything at all.


The freehold market has continued its slow march to the summer months with a decline in sales of nearly 45% to only 64 sales this past week compared to 113 the week before. And while we still here the odd story of multiple offers, the number of homes selling above their listed price has dropped to only 20%.  Listings last week increased substantially over the week before with an increase of almost 50%. Most of the increase in new listings came in the east and west areas while the central core remained fairly consistent over the previous week.


The condo market has also settled into the summer cycle with an increase in new listings and a decline in sales over the previous week. Maybe the most interesting aspect of the condo market is the difference between the entry level condo and the high end condo market. If you are looking to get into the starter market in condos be prepared for continued stiff competition.  More than 50% of the condos listed under $700,000 sold above their advertised price which is a trend we have been watching closely for several weeks.  It was reported that an aggressively priced condo in the central core recently garnered the attention of 40 offers.  Lucky for the 39 bidders that lost that there are a whole lot more condos coming to market this summer for them to bid on. Not so lucky perhaps are sellers of high end condos who have seen a marked decrease in sales activity.

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Pride week in Toronto was a colourful success and Bosley's participation in Family Pride was a whole lot-of-fun! As we are coming up to the much anticipated "Canada 150" long weekend, this will be a weekend to participate in the festivities around town. With so many events happening in Toronto to celebrate Canada's big birthday it will be hard to narrow down which events to attend.  (Check them out here)


It's not unusual for listings to start tapering off before a long weekend. Last week new listings were down slightly by 9% for the freehold sector compared to the week before, but in the condo market, new listings were up a whopping 43%. Interestingly half of the freehold homes in the $700 to $1.5m range, sold over the asking! In the central core it seems that first time buyers are taking advantage of the $400 -$700 price range where more than 50% of the action was. As a TD economist pointed out, last month marked the first time since 2010 that growth in condo prices in Canada outpaced the rise in single-family home prices.


We have seen plenty of rain this summer, almost as much as we have listened to the media, which continues to report a cooling market, but there are great buys out there. The art of negotiating is upon us. We are seeing a shift in the market but the sky is not falling. Overall, prices are still up but expectations need to be managed.

How lucky are we to live in a country as cool as Canada! Happy Canada Day eh!

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Back in the old days of real estate the Realtors® would work hard up until the end of June and then they would take the summer off, as did most of their clients. Over the past many years the Spring market has lasted well into the summer with usually just a short break in the dog days of August. We are definitely feeling old school with the slow pace of listings and even slower pace of sales heading into summer this year. It reminds us though, as the families stop thinking about real estate and start thinking about camp, that there is a new summer real estate season driven by the tens of thousands of students who flock to the city to study at one of the many universities. The smart ones are looking for rentals already and the rest will arrive over the next few months. This puts tremendous pressure on the city’s rental stock which in turn pushes at the lower end of the condo market as desperate parents buy condos for their lovely offspring that just couldn’t find that perfect apartment.  And right now in Toronto the hottest part of our market is the entry level condo market.


The Toronto Real Estate Board reported that in the first two weeks of June the value of condominiums increased 23% over last year. Prices, however, have eased off slightly from their peak in April down a marginal 3%. We are not all that surprised as we continue to see reduced inventory, especially in the sub-$700,000 range where listings in the central core are down 33% over the previous week. Overall new condo listings were down 25% over the previous week but are up 12% over the same week last year. Sales declined for the third week in a row to 134 from 143 the previous week and the number of condos selling above their list price is down to 41%.  Again the most active segment of the condo market was the sub-$700,000 with 49% of sales occurring over their listed price.


Unlike the condo market, the Toronto Real Estate Board reports that the Freehold market only increased in value 10% over the same time last year. Perhaps more importantly the average price of a detached home in the 416 is down 10% from its peak price at the end of April. Listings continue to decline as we approach the summer months and were down another 10% over the previous week. Sales also continued their declined in numbers down 10% from the previous week.  For the first time this year the percentage of freehold properties that sold above their advertised price was below 50% coming in at 48%.  Thinking in our old school way, we will see you on the dock in July. Bosley Real Estate Ltd. is a full service boutique brokerage operating in Toronto, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Jordan and Port Hope, Ontario since 1928. We have four centrally located offices and over 250 sales representatives selling and leasing homes and condominiums in all the vibrant communities we work in. Our brand is well recognized internationally thanks to our unique affiliation with Leading Real Estate Companies of the World. Our sales teams meet weekly to discuss market conditions, trending topics, and anecdotes that more accurately reflect the true temperature of the real estate market.

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If the real estate market were like a game of golf we would probably be on the back nine right now wondering if we were going to pull our game together or bogey our way to the clubhouse.  If you are a Seller you are definitely wondering how your game fell apart so quickly after hitting the fairway with every drive and sinking every putt through the beginning of the season. The confusing part might be why the Buyers haven’t picked up their game as we finish out the season. The market has definitely started to slow down early for the summer and the jury is still out on whether the Sellers who sold in March hit the hole in one or if the Buyers grabbing properties during this quieter time will be the ultimate winner.


In the Freehold market new listings have eased off nearly 13% from last week down from 401 to 350 this week.  Almost the entire decline in listings occurred in the central core where new listings declined from 196 to 148 which interestingly is on par with the new listings from the same week last year which were 147. Last year was not a year with an abundance of listings so it is interesting to note that we have not seen a flood of properties to the market.  Sales also continued to decline down to 148 from 167 the previous week. The number of properties that sold over their advertised continued to decrease with 52% selling above the listed price.


The condo market saw an increase in new listings over last week with 367 new listings coming to market compared to the 332 that were listed the previous week. Like the freehold market, sales of condos are not keeping up with the pace of new listings allowing for more choice for buyers.  Condo sales declined nearly 33% from the previous week down to 143 from 213.  Condo bidding wars are also starting to become a thing of the past with only 44% of all sales going above their listed price.,

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This week we had to order three extra bottles of water for the water cooler as it seemed everyone was spending an inordinate amount of time chatting about what to do next in real estate.  We watched as the listings went down before the long weekend and as expected that resulted in lower sales last week.  And as is typical after a long weekend the numbers of new listings jumped substantially thereafter. The trend we have been watching carefully is the number of sales that are occurring above their listed price.  In both the condo and freehold market that number has dropped below 50% and perhaps the most surprising thing is that more condos (49%) sold above their list price than freehold properties (48%).  The other common refrain we hear is that the Sellers are hoping to wait out the hesitant Buyers by holding off their listings until the fall market arrives in September.  We seemed to have misplaced our crystal ball (might have left it by the water cooler) so are unable at this time to decide if waiting for the Fall market will be the winning strategy.


The Freehold market saw an expected decline in sales during the week after the May ‘24’ long weekend.  It was a larger drop than we have witnessed after other long weekends with sales falling 49% to 94 sales from the previous week. This is the lowest number we have witnessed in a week since the beginning of the Spring market.  Listings also followed the predictable post-long weekend pattern surging 52% to 406 form 266 in the previous week. This number is in line with the weekly inventory we have been seeing all Spring. 


The condo market followed a similar pattern with sales dropping 28% to 133 from 185 the week before.  Listings climbed with 41 new units on the market for a total of 380 new listings, up 12% from the previous week.  The bulk of new listings came out in the downtown core and were in the $400-700,000 range.  There has been some interesting press this week about the city pushing for more large family friendly condos to be built and we will watch this news carefully in the coming months.Bosley Real Estate Ltd. is a full service boutique brokerage operating in Toronto, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Jordan and Port Hope, Ontario since 1928. We have four centrally located offices and over 250 sales representatives selling and leasing homes and condominiums in all the vibrant communities we work in. Our brand is well recognized internationally thanks to our unique affiliation with Leading Real Estate Companies of the World. Our sales teams meet weekly to discuss market conditions, trending topics, and anecdotes that more accurately reflect the true temperature of the real estate market.

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Dear Vancouver, we are wondering if what is going on with our market is the same thing you went through last year?  You see, our listings continue to go up and sales have dropped off substantially. Yet the Toronto Real Estate Board just released the mid-May statistics and shared that in the first two weeks of May prices have gone up over 17% compared to the same time-frame last year.  And you might want to sit down for this next stat, because the leader of the pack was none other than condominium apartments which increased over 28% in value over the same period last May. Now we should also point out that the average price of a detached home in the 416 has actually declined slightly from the end of April going down in value 1.8%. Condominium apartments did increase in value over the end of April, but to be honest at an increase of .2% it is basically a rounding error.


We were happy to see that the listings in the Freehold market declined last week over the previous week.  Don’t get us wrong we love to see new listings but last week happened to be the week before the last of the Spring market long weekends and well, listings are supposed to go down before a long weekend. The 46% decline in listings last week to 266 from 496 the previous week is a similar proportionate drop to those we witnessed around earlier spring holidays. It was also very interesting to note that sale numbers crept up slightly moving up 3% to 204 from 188 the previous week.  The first increase in sale numbers in three weeks. We continue to see a declining number of sales that are recorded above their listed price and are hearing anecdotally that many of those sales that did go over their list price did so with only a single offer and clearly some good negotiating.


The condominium market also saw a decline in new listings last week down 25% to 339 over the previous week which saw 451 new listings come to market.  There was also a slight uptick in condo sales last week up 3% over the previous week. The condominium market continues to witness the decline in units selling for more than the advertised price with a meager 57% of all sales going above their listed price.

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In the eighties the world was introduced to a new toy known as the Rubik’s Cube.  There ensued a massive uptake of the toy amongst the general population despite the fact that the only way most of us could actually solve the puzzle was to take the stickers off and put them back on so it appeared as though we had completed the Cube. Anytime something like the Rubik’s Cube comes around the question of Fad vs. Trend begins to be talked about.  That same question has begun to be discussed about the Toronto real estate market and it is a question that we will only answer with time. The Rubik’s cube has become the bestselling puzzle of all time.  I think we can declare that one a trend. As we head into the last holiday weekend of the spring season we will watch carefully to see how the market reacts when everyone is back to work on Tuesday. Have we witnessed a fad in our market or are we looking at the beginning of a trend?


The freehold market continued to see increases in inventory and declines in sales for the third straight week.  New listings increased 9% over the previous week from 454 to 496.  It is important to note when looking at those numbers that we have seen a marked increase in re-lists, those properties that were priced for a bidding war that did not come to be and have been put back on the market at a higher price.  It has been reported that as many as 20% of new listings are actually re-lists from properties that did not sell the previous week.  The drop in sales was again the exact opposite of new listings with sales dropping 10% over the previous week. The largest drop in sales was reported in the west end though it is interesting to note that 85% of all west end sales were above their list price compared to an average of 72% for the rest of our study area.


In the condo market we believe we are seeing a trend as the percentage of listings that sold above their advertised price again declined with 66% of all listings selling above their listed price.  It is important to note that it appears the days of huge offer premiums above the list price for condos are likely over. While many sales are still achieving a mark above the list price the percentage above list price continues to decline.  Condos saw a 5% increase in listings but for the first time in four weeks saw a decline in sales down 9% over the previous week.

Bosley Real Estate Ltd. is a full service boutique brokerage operating in Toronto, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Jordan and Port Hope, Ontario since 1928. We have four centrally located offices and over 250 sales representatives selling and leasing homes and condominiums in all the vibrant communities we work in. Our brand is well recognized internationally thanks to our unique affiliation with Leading Real Estate Companies of the World. Our sales teams meet weekly to discuss market conditions, trending topics, and anecdotes that more accurately reflect the true temperature of the real estate market.

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As we settled into our sales meetings this week the topic of the day was definitely what was happening to the market and if the recent government changes have had the desired effect in increasing the affordability of housing in the city.  Much of our conversation centered around the differences between the massive downturn in the market in 1989 versus the brief pause in the market we experienced in 2008. While admittedly none of us actually own a crystal ball, the general consensus was that these past few weeks will likely be a pause in the market and not a large correction as some Sellers are fearing and most Buyers are hoping for.  What we may be seeing as a result of this pause is a move towards more realistic pricing and less of setting a low asking price and letting the market show us the true value. All the more reason to make sure you hire a Realtor that knows how to properly price and market a property.


The freehold market saw an increase in new listings of 15% up to 454 from 394 the previous week.  It is normal at this time of year to see an increase in listings as the Spring market hits its stride and this increase seems far too low to indicate a flood of listings to the market by fearful home owners who think we are facing a serious price correction. In an exact opposite trend there was a 15% drop in the number of sales to 196 from the 232 over the previous week. This is a trend we will follow carefully as we are expecting a rebound in sales numbers over the coming weeks. While pre-emptive offers continue to disappear from the landscape it is interesting to observe that 73% of all homes still sold above their asking price.


The condo market continues to separate itself from the freehold market with a week that saw both new listings and sales increase over the previous week.  New condo listings increased 6% and sales kept very close track increasing 5% over the previous week. Condos also continue to sell above their list price with 75% of all sales happening above the advertised price.

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As Spring comes upon us and the trees and flowers begin to bloom, we Realtors often have to remember to stop and smell the roses lest we wake up one day to find ourselves in the dog days of summer.  Unfortunately, given the frenetic pace of a usual spring market many Realtors miss the awaking of spring entirely, instead focusing on helping their clients to buy or sell the home of their dreams.  Even after the announcements from the provincial government of changes to the industry, the market seemed to continue down its usual path through a freshly blooming garden.  So, weren’t we all a bit surprised when this week the entire city took a deep breath and decided to stop and smell the roses.  There is much talk of buyers waiting to see how things shake out and nervous sellers wondering if they have missed the top of the market. With continued low interest rates, steady immigration to the city and provincial legislation aimed at promoting upward instead of outward growth we are confident that the market will continue its positive trajectory throughout the spring.


The Freehold market saw a steady supply of new listings last week.  Though down slightly from the previous week this is likely a result of the rush of listings after the Easter and Passover breaks.  Sales also rebounded nicely in response to the increased inventory of new listings with 232 freehold properties changing hands.  There was also a slight increase in listings selling over the advertised price with a more typical 78% of all sales going above the asking price.


The condo market also saw a consistent number of new listings when compared to the previous week settling in at an even 400 new listings last week. Sale numbers were up slightly from 193 to 201 last week and the number of sales above the advertised price were back at a more typical 75% of condo sales.

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The sky is not falling. The pigs are not yet flying. And we are pretty sure that the price of real estate in Toronto is going to keep climbing, though perhaps not as quickly as it was already this year.  But really, maybe it will.  After the announcement of the Government of Ontario’s ‘Fair Housing Plan’ our in-house experts pored over the information looking for whatever information might lead us to think the suggested changes would improve housing affordability in the GTA. We quickly dismissed point 15 thinking that while working elevators are fairly essential in a condo building, their lack of movement up or down was probably not having a huge effect on affordability in the market.  Many of us thought it might be fun to join the ‘Housing Supply Team’ or the ‘Housing Advisory Group”, but at the end of the day we all have full time jobs that we like.  The two points that we did pull out that we think will affect the market were the 15-per-cent Non-Resident Speculation Tax (NRST) and the imposition of rent controls on all properties in Ontario, eliminating the exemption for properties built after 1991. For now we wait patiently for the legislation that will make all these announcements law and will give us the details that will allow clarity moving forward. On one last note, if you were thinking of heading out of town for your next purchase you should probably take a look at the articles below on house prices outside the City of Toronto.


The Freehold market experienced the typical after holiday resurgence in listings, more than doubling from 181 during the previous holiday filled week to 436 this past week.  The increase in listings was city-wide and should help provide options for those Buyers still hot to purchase in the spring market. Not surprisingly, following a week of fewer listings there were also substantially fewer sales last week.  The freehold sales in our study area topped out at exactly 100 with an even 70% going above their list price, down from a peak of 90% three weeks ago. Two interesting things of note last week were the steep decline of listings selling before their offer date with only around 10% selling in pre-emptive offers and the easing off of the percentage of sale price above the list price which seems to be settling in around 120% above the advertised price.


The condo market also witnessed a huge increase in listings adding nearly 200 more new listings than the previous week, going from 258 to 447. Like the freehold market condo sales also declined last week dropping from 224 to 151 this week, though the percentage of sales above their advertised price stayed relatively high with 70% of units selling above the list price. We think it is the condo market that will be most affected by the new rent controls and suspect there may be an uptick in new listings as the market moves forward.

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Last week the real estate industry took a slight pause while several major religions celebrated their holiest of days all in the same week.  In real estate the coming of spring normally heralds the beginning of the annual game of trying to show houses while the city, in an apparently random manner, shuts down streets and neighbourhoods for prolonged construction projects – BEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEP – We interrupt this regularly scheduled Bosley Insight for breaking news from the Provincial Government. It seems that the powers that be at Queen’s Park will be making changes to ‘slow down’ the real estate market in the GTA.  We wish we could tell you what this means but, like you, we will need a week or so to see how it all shakes out.  Stay tuned next week when we can report back on how pending legislative changes will affect Toronto’s buyers and sellers.


Last week the Freehold market continued with steady sales just above 200 units. For the first time that we can recall there was not a single freehold property listed below the $700,000 price point in the central core and an astounding 85% of all listings sold over their advertised price last week.  While homes continue to sell above their list price we have seen a backing off of the amount above list that buyers are paying. Homes under $1,500,000 are selling for about 125% above list, down from highs of 135-140% above list a month or so ago. With most of the city celebrating Easter and Passover it was not a surprise to see a steep decline in listings last week, down from 383 in the first week of April to less than half that number last week with 181 new listings.


The condo market also witnessed a decline in listings last week from 386 to 258. Sales remained steady at 224 compared to 234 the previous week and condos continue to be snapped up above their list price at a rate close to the freehold market. Over the past two weeks condos have sold over their list price 75% of the time down slightly from the peak three weeks ago of 80% of all condos selling above their advertised price.  With all these new rules coming from our provincial government, including potential changes to rent control exemptions, the condo market will bear watching for the next few weeks.

Bosley Real Estate Ltd. is a full service boutique brokerage operating in Toronto, Niagara-on-the-Lake, Jordan and Port Hope, Ontario since 1928. We have four centrally located offices and over 250 sales representatives selling and leasing homes and condominiums in all the vibrant communities we work in. Our brand is well recognized internationally thanks to our unique affiliation with Leading Real Estate Companies of the World. Our sales teams meet weekly to discuss market conditions, trending topics, and anecdotes that more accurately reflect the true temperature of the real estate market.

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